AQUEDUCT 9f

Notable Past Winners: Mo Donegal, Vino Rosso, Irish War Cry, Frosted, Empire Maker, Fusaichi Pegasus, Unbridled's Song, Easy Goer, Broad Brush, Pleasant Colony, Seattle Slew, Bold Forbes... Many who won the Wood Memorial successfully placed in the Triple Crown races, with an emphasis on the Belmont Stakes because of bias.

Listed from Highest Chef Index (speed) to Lowest Chef Index (stamina).

Mares (and Tapit) are taken into consideration separately.

5.40 SLIP MAHONEY Arrogate - Got Lucky (A.P. Indy)

DP = 5-17-10-0-0 (32) DI = 5.40 CD = 0.84

Mare Profile = 8-3-2-6-11 Speed = 11 Stamina = 17 Index = 0.70 Triads = 13-11-19

Wood Memorial: +++

Kentucky Derby: +++++

Belmont Stakes: ++

The incredibly high amount of inbred mare stamina will work to his advantage at Aqueduct. The offset of intense inbred speed and the 32 points in the chefs profile are massive advantages for the Kentucky Derby that balance him properly for the Churchill course. The high amount of inbred speed will work to his disadvantage at Belmont, therefore he receives two less stars for the Wood Memorial. This is the best bred colt on the field and the one who has a slight disadvantage for a win here, but if he can pull it off, he is the one who is stacked for the Derby. He is up against it in this particular race but he does have Arrogate and AP Indy on his side. He needs to rise high to this occasion and get himself a gate in the Derby. The contenders at the bottom of this list have advantage on their side here, not the top of the list.

4.33 ARCTIC ARROGANCE Frosted - Modest Maven (Uncle Mo)

DP = 1-4-3-0-0 (8) DI = 4.33 CD = 0.75

Mare Profile = 11-4-2-4-8 Speed = 15 Stamina = 12 Index = 1.27 Triads = 17-10-14 (2nd gen Tapit)

Wood Memorial: ++++

Kentucky Derby: ++++

Belmont Stakes: +++

The presence of Tapit is the key here for all three races, but the numbers are not 100% ideal because of the 4.33 higher index for the Wood and Belmont. However, that 4.33 redeems him slightly better for the Derby.

4.33 MR. SWAGGER Maclean's Music - Tee Off (Thunder Gulch)

DP = 3-7-6-0-0 (16) DI = 4.33 CD = 0.81

Mare Profile = 6-6-4-7-6 Speed = 12 Stamina = 13 Index = 0.96 Triads = 16-17-17

Wood Memorial: +

Kentucky Derby: ++

Belmont Stakes: +

Consistent workout tab at Parx is in complete opposition for the Wood. Mares lack for the Derby. 4.33 in the Belmont is incorrect.

3.44 LORD MILES Curlin - Lady Esme (Majestic Warrior)

DP = 5-6-9-0-0 (20) DI = 3.44 CD = 0.80

Mare Profile = 9-2-4-8-8 Speed = 11 Stamina = 16 Index = 0.86 Triads = 15-14-20

Wood Memorial: +++

Kentucky Derby: ++

Belmont Stakes: +++

Away from Florida will help if he gravitates to his mares. Configurations are simplistic for all three races.

3.33 CRUPI Curlin - Dontforgetaboutme (Malibu Moon)

DP = 6-8-12-0-0 (26) DI = 3.33 CD = 0.77

Mare Profile = 8-2-1-7-11 Speed = 10 Stamina = 18 Index = 0.63 Triads = 11-10-19

Wood Memorial: ++++

Kentucky Derby: ++

Belmont Stakes: ++++

Stacked from the mares, similar to Vino Rosso with high leanings towards the Wood and board hit potential in the Belmont. These are not Derby configurations.

3.00 UNCLE JAKE Uncle Mo - Tasha's Miracle (Harlan's Holiday)

DP = 1-0-1-0-0 (2) DI = 3.00 CD = 1.00

Mare Profile = 9-2-9-7-2 Speed = 11 Stamina = 9 Index = 1.45 Triads = 20-18-18

Wood Memorial: +

Kentucky Derby: +

Belmont Stakes: +

No reason for entry here at all. The mares are in complete opposition of all 3 races.

3.00 SHADOW DRAGON Army Mule - Fire Assay (Medaglia d'Oro)

DP = 4-4-5-1-0 (14) DI = 3.00 CD = 0.79

Mare Profile = 5-5-8-5-8 Speed = 10 Stamina = 13 Index = 0.79 Triads = 18-18-21

Wood Memorial: +++

Kentucky Derby: +++

Belmont Stakes: ++

Lower end of the speed spectrum, does not lean heavily to either side. Safe numbers. Not explosive, simply even. Could play to his advantage with pace meltdown in the Wood, even numbers, even pace. Board hit numbers across the board.

3.00 KNOX Brethren - Alexandra Rylee (Afleet Alex)

DP = 4-3-7-0-0 (14) DI = 3.00 CD = 0.79

Mare Profile = 10-2-3-7-11 Speed = 12 Stamina = 18 Index = 0.78 Triads = 15-12-21

Wood Memorial: +++

Kentucky Derby: +

Belmont Stakes: ++

Split Mares profile affects Wood Memorial and Belmont Stakes, but 6 point spread helps. Similar to Shadow Dragon, low key and even. Triads lack for Derby.

3.00 GENERAL BANKER Central Banker - Elusive Jozi (Johannesburg)

DP = 2-3-5-0-0 (10) DI = 3.00 CD = 0.70

Mare Profile = 10-1-6-3-7 Speed = 11 Stamina = 10 Index = 1.17 Triads = 17-10-16

Wood Memorial: +

Kentucky Derby: +

Belmont Stakes: +

No, no, and no. The entire mare line is completely off.

2.50 HIT SHOW Candy Ride - Actress (Tapit)

DP = 2-5-6-1-0 (14) DI = 2.50 CD = 0.57

Mare Profile = 6-2-4-6-8 Speed = 8 Stamina = 14 Index = 0.69 Triads = 12-12-18 (2nd gen Tapit)

Wood Memorial: +++++

Kentucky Derby: ++

Belmont Stakes: +++++

Exceptional set-up with Tapit for the Wood and perfect for the Belmont. 2.50 Tapit colt is harsh for the Derby. Belmont numbers are extremely advantaged in the Wood Memorial. This colt and Dreamlike are built extremely similar, both with Candy Ride and Tapit and same scale. They are the most advantaged for the race.

2.43 CLASSIC CATCH Classic Empire - Moon Catcher (Malibu Moon)

DP = 3-3-5-0-1 (12) DI = 2.43 CD = 0.58

Mare Profile = 5-2-8-10-6 Speed = 7 Stamina = 16 Index = 0.67 Triads = 15-20-24

Wood Memorial: ++++

Kentucky Derby: +++

Belmont Stakes: ++++

Massive numbers from Classic Empire son that coincide with all 3 races.

2.43 DREAMLIKE Gun Runner - Time To Tap (Tapit)

DP = 1-4-7-0-0 (12) DI = 2.43 CD = 0.50

Mare Profile = 7-3-5-7-6 Speed = 10 Stamina = 13 Index = 0.92 Triads = 15-15-18 (2nd gen Tapit)

Wood Memorial: +++++

Kentucky Derby: ++

Belmont Stakes: +++++

The 2.43 index, Tapit stamina, Candy Ride speed, Style of running, Better bias, and Post are all favorable for the Wood. Excellent for Belmont, lacking for the Derby. This guy and Hit Show have the proper set-up for the Wood.