Contenders and Updates

The Derby Field with updates along the way...

When you view the probable contenders so far as they are laid out in their proper categories, things begin to take on a greater perspective. We have speed horses traveling from the rear. We have stamina horses wanting the lead. We have Tapit and Into Mischief all over the place.

I will update the names as we move along to Derby Day, keeping the current 20 players up to date so that you have the perfect layout at all times. Several of the horses that are here today will be gone tomorrow, but they may return as they could remain on the bubble.

If you hear of any scratches or changes along the way, please post in the thread. I know Gerard and Sysonby are always on top of that! I will add any pertinent info on any horses, at any given time as we move along.

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Contenders are listed from highest inbred chefs speed down to highest inbred chef stamina. (Mares are separate).

Ratings may be updated along the way as well.

3.10 and Over

9.00 CITIZEN BULL

71 points Into Mischief Best RPR: 115 Bob Baffert M. Garcia

DP = 2-6-2-0-0 (10) DI = 9.00   CD = 1.00 ANZ = 11.00

Mare Profile = 3-10-5-11-2   Speed = 13   Stamina = 13   Index = 1.05   Triads = 18-26-18

St. Simon: Mr. Prospector → Teddy

Configurations Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥

Multi Style Rating: ♥ ♥

Sloppy Track - Never Performed

Prominent Non-Chefs increase over Chefs: +22% Speed

3/29 Santa Anita Workout: 3/29 5f 58.40 Bullet ✓

4/13 Santa Anita Workout: 4/13 5f 1:01.00

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7.80 BURNHAM SQUARE

130 points Liam's Map Best RPR: coming Ian Wilkes B. Hernandez

DP = 4-13-5-0-0 (22) DI = 7.80   CD = 0.95 ANZ = 8.60

Mare Profile = 6-7-3-5-6   Speed = 13   Stamina = 11   Index = 1.10   Triads = 16-15-14

St. Simon: Mr. Prospector → Teddy

Configurations Rating:  ♥ ♥

Multi Style Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥

Sloppy Track - Never performed.

Prominent Non-Chefs increase over Chefs: +10.8% Speed

3/29 Workout Churchill Downs: 5f 59.60 - Work prior to the Blue Grass

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5.00 LUXOR CAFE

70 points American Pharoah Best RPR: 119 Noriyuki Hori Joao Moreira

DP = 3-1-2-0-0 (6) DI = 5.00   CD = 1.17 ANZ = 8.00

Mare Profile = 6-5-2-6-8   Speed = 11   Stamina = 14   Index = 0.79   Triads = 13-13-16

St. Simon: Mr. Prospector → Teddy

Configurations Rating:  ♥ ♥ ♥

Multi Style Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥

Sloppy/Muddy Track - 8/31/24 - Sappora 8.5f - 2nd place, lost by a neck

Prominent Non-Chefs increase over Chefs: +60% Speed

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4.33 SOVEREIGNTY

110 points Into Mischief Best RPR: 115 Bill Mott Jr. Alvarado

DP = 2-3-3-0-0 (8) DI = 4.33   CD = 0.88 ANZ = 7.00

Mare Profile = 3-10-5-7-4   Speed = 13   Stamina = 11   Index = 1.05   Triads = 18-22-16

St. Simon: 16.41%

Configurations Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥

Multi Style Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥

Sloppy Track - Never Performed.

Prominent Non-Chefs increase over Chefs: +61.6% Speed

4/11 Payson Park Workout: 4f 48.40 ✓ - Fastest workout since 7/6/2024 at Saratoga

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4.33 PUBLISHER

60 points American Pharoah Best RPR: 97 Steve Asmussen Irad Ortiz

DP = 2-3-3-0-0 (8) DI = 4.33   CD = 0.88 ANZ = 5.67

Mare Profile = 9-2-4-10-3   Speed = 11   Stamina = 13   Index = 1.20   Triads = 15-16-17

St. Simon: 7.8% tie with Mr. Prospector→ Teddy

Configurations Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥

Multi Style Rating: ♥ ♥

Sloppy Track - 9/27/2024 - Churchill 8f - 3rd place - ran 4 wide, gained.

Sloppy Muddy Sealed Track - 12/29/2024 - Oaklawn Park - 2nd place - midpack, gained, top 2 separated from field.

Prominent Non-Chefs increase over Chefs: +30.9% Speed

4/12 Workout at Churchill Downs: 5f 1:00.80

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4.00 TIZTASTIC

119 points Tiz the Law Best RPR: 101 Steve Asmussen J Rosario

DP = 1-5-4-0-0 (10) DI = 4.00   CD = 0.70 ANZ = 6.00

Mare Profile = 10-5-3-6-5   Speed = 15   Stamina = 11   Index = 1.47   Triads = 18-14-14 (Tapit 2X)

St. Simon: Tapit → Mr. Prospector → Teddy

Configurations Rating: not yet.

Multi Style Rating: ♥ ♥

Sloppy Track - Never Performed.

Prominent Non-Chefs increase over Chefs: +50% Speed

4/12 Workout at Churchill Downs: 5f 1:00.80

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3.80 COAL BATTLE

95 points Coal Front Best RPR: 109 Lonnie Briley Juan Vargas

DP = 1-7-3-1-0 (12) DI = 3.80   CD = 0.67 ANZ = 3.80

Mare Profile = 8-7-4-5-5   Speed = 15   Stamina = 10   Index = 1.42   Triads = 19-16-14

St. Simon: 28.13%

Configurations Rating:  ♥ ♥

Multi Style Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥

Sloppy (Muddy Sealed) Track - 11-8-2024 - Delta Downs - 1st Place - ran from the back.

Prominent Non-Chefs increase over Chefs: None. No change.

4/8 Workout at Churchill Downs: 4f 48.40 ✓

4/15 Workout at Churchill Downs: 5f 1:01.20

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3.67 AMERICAN PROMISE

50 points Justify Best RPR: 114 D. Wayne Lukas Nik Juarez

DP = 2-6-6-0-0 (14) DI = 3.67   CD = 0.71     ANZ = 3.50

Mare Profile = 10-2-6-5-8   Speed = 12   Stamina = 13   Index = 1.04   Triads = 18-13-19 (2nd gen Tapit)

St. Simon - Mr. Prospector → Teddy

Configurations Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ +

Multi Style Rating: ♥

Sloppy Track - 9/27/24 - Churchill 8f Maiden - 8th place - no bid.

Sloppy Muddy Sealed Track - 12/29/2024 - Oaklawn Park - 1st Place - Gate to Wire

Prominent Non-Chefs increase over Chefs: +4.6% Stamina

4/1 Workout at Oaklawn Park: 5f 59.20 Bullet ✓

4/9 Workout at Oaklawn Park: 5f 59.40 Bullet ✓

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3.67 GRANDE

50 points Curlin Best RPR: 82 Todd Pletcher J. Velazquez

DP = 6-10-12-0-0 (28) DI = 3.67   CD = 0.79 ANZ = 3.67

Mare Profile = 5-6-1-9-8   Speed = 11   Stamina = 17   Index = 0.65   Triads = 12-16-18

St. Simon: Mr. Prospector → Teddy

Configurations Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ +

Multi Style Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥

Sloppy Track - Never Performed.

Prominent Non-Chefs increase of Chefs: None. No change.

3/29 Workout at Palm Beach: 4f 50.12 - Work prior to Wood Memorial

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3.57 JOURNALISM

122 points Curlin Best RPR: 118 Mike McCarthy Umberto Rispoli

DP = 4-5-7-0-0 (16) DI = 3.57   CD = 0.81 ANZ = 3.57

Mare Profile = 6-5-4-7-7   Speed = 11   Stamina = 14   Index = 0.84   Triads = 15-16-18

St. Simon: Deputy Minister  → Bunty Lawless → Commando

Configurations Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ +

Multi Style Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥

Sloppy Track - Never Performed.

Prominent Non-Chefs increase over Chefs: None. No change.

3/29 Workout at Santa Anita: 5f 1:01.40 - Work prior to the Santa Anita Derby.

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3.24 SANDMAN

129 points Tapit Best RPR: 116 Mark Casse Jose Ortiz

DP = 6-15-13-2-0 (36) DI = 3.24   CD = 0.69 ANZ = 3.24

Mare Profile = 8-5-1-7-8   Speed = 13   Stamina = 15   Index = 0.92   Triads = 14-13-16 (Tapit)

St. Simon: Mr. Prospector → Teddy

Configurations Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥

Multi Style Rating: ♥ ♥

Sloppy Track - Never Performed.

Prominent Non-Chefs increase over Chefs: None. No change.

4/15 Workout at Churchill Downs: 4f 49.60 ✓

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3.00 EXACT

3.00 EAST AVENUE

60 Points Medaglia d'Oro Best RPR: coming Brendan Walsh Luan Machado

DP = 5-9-8-2-0 (24) DI = 3.00   CD = 0.71 ANZ = 3.00

Mare Profile = 13-3-2-5-6   Speed = 16   Stamina = 11   Index = 1.63   Triads = 18-10-13

St. Simon: 14.45%

Configurations Rating: ♥ ♥

Multi Style Rating: ♥

Sloppy Track - Never Performed.

Prominent Non-Chefs increase over Chefs: None. No change.

3/29 Workout at Keeneland: 4f 47.00 - Workout prior to the Blue Grass

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3.00 RODRIGUEZ

121 points Authentic Best RPR: coming Bob Baffert Mike Smith

DP = 1-1-2-0-0 (4) DI = 3.00   CD = 0.75 ANZ = 3.00

Mare Profile = 4-5-8-12-2   Speed = 9   Stamina = 14   Index = 0.88   Triads = 17-25-22

St. Simon: 13.48%

Configurations Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ + + Historically, Best Kentucky Derby Configurations of all the probables to date.

Multi Style Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥

Sloppy Track - Never Performed.

Prominent Non-Chefs increase over Chefs: None. No change.

3/29 Workout at Santa Anita: 5f 59.60 - Work prior to the Wood Memorial

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3.00 TAPPAN STREET

110 points Into Mischief Best RPR: 115 Brad Cox Luis Saez

DP = 1-1-2-0-0 (4) DI = 3.00   CD = 0.75 ANZ = 7.00

Mare Profile = 4-10-5-7-4   Speed = 14   Stamina = 11   Index = 1.15   Triads = 19-22-16

St. Simon: 22.07%

Configurations Rating:  ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥

Multi Style Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥

Sloppy Track - Never Performed.

Prominent Non-Chefs increase over Chefs: +133% Speed

4/11 Workout at Payson Park: 4f 48.40 ✓

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3.00 FLYING MOHAWK

50 points Karakontie Best RPR: coming D. W. Beckman Joseph Ramos

DP = 1-1-2-0-0 (4) DI = 3.00   CD = 0.75 ANZ = 2.50

Mare Profile = 5-4-5-9-7   Speed = 9   Stamina = 16   Index = 0.68   Triads = 14-18-21

St. Simon: Mr. Prospector → Teddy

Configurations Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥

Multi Style Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥

Sloppy Track - Never Performed on Dirt Surface, Wet or Dry. Only Turf and AWS.

Prominent Non-Chefs increase over Chefs: +16.6% Stamina

4/12 Dirt Workout at Churchill Downs: 4f 50.80

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2.00 to 2.90

2.39 BUILT

45 points Hard Spun Best RPR: 91 Wayne Catalano Jose Ortiz

DP = 3-6-13-0-0 (22) DI = 2.38   CD = 0.55 ANZ = 3.00

Mare Profile = 4-3-6-9-6   Speed = 7   Stamina = 15   Index = 0.63   Triads = 13-18-21

St. Simon: 17.19%

Configurations Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥

Multi Style Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥

Sloppy Sealed Track - 1/18/2015 - Lecomte - 2nd place, retained top tier at steady pace.

Prominent Non-Chefs increase over Chefs: +26% Speed

4/7 Workout at Churchill Downs: 4f 49.20 ✓

4/15 Workout at Churchill Downs: 4f 49.80 ✓

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2.33 CHUNK OF GOLD

75 points Preservationist Best RPR: 91 Ethan West Jareth Loveberry

DP = 1-3-6-0-0 (10) DI = 2.33   CD = 0.50 ANZ = 2.33

Mare Profile = 9-2-6-7-5   Speed = 11   Stamina = 12   Index = 1.13   Triads = 17-15-18

St. Simon: 12.5%

Configurations Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥

Multi Style Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥

Sloppy Track - Never Performed.

Prominent Non-Chefs increase over Chefs: None. No change.

4/12 Workout at Turfway Park: 5f 59.40 AWS Bullet ✓

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2.20 FINAL GAMBIT 

100 points Not This Time Best RPR: coming Brad Cox Luan Machado

DP = 2-7-15-0-0 (24) DI = 2.20   CD = 0.46 ANZ = 2.73

Mare Profile = 6-9-2-9-4   Speed = 15   Stamina = 13   Index = 1.21   Triads = 17-20-15 (2nd gen Tapit)

St. Simon: Mr. Prospector → Teddy

Configurations Rating: not yet.

Multi Style Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥

Sloppy Track - Never Performed on Dirt Surface, Wet or Dry. Only Turf and AWS.

Prominent Non-Chefs increase over Chefs: +24% Speed

3/15 AWS Workout at Turfway Park: 4f 48.00 - Work prior to the Jeff Ruby

4/2 Dirt Workout at Churchill Downs: 4f 48.80 ✓

4/9 Dirt Workout at Churchill Downs: 5f 1.00.80

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2.00 MADAKET ROAD

46 points Quality Road Best RPR: 103 Bob Baffert M. Smith

DP = 2-2-8-0-0 (12) DI = 2.00   CD = 0.50 ANZ = 2.00

Mare Profile = 14-1-2-5-12   Speed = 15   Stamina = 17   Index = 1.00   Triads = 17-8-19

St. Simon: Mr. Prospector → Teddy

Configurations : ♥ ♥ ♥

Multi Style Rating: ♥

Sloppy Track - Never Performed.

Prominent Non-Chefs increase over Chefs: None. No change.

4/12 Workout at Santa Anita: 4f 47.00 Bullet ✓ (Lead Type Work)

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UNDER 2.00

1.86 ADMIRE DAYTONA

106 points Drefong (Shackleford) Best RPR: 110 Yukihiro Kato C. Lemaire

DP = 2-2-5-1-0 (10) DI = 1.86   CD = 0.50 ANZ = 3.00

Mare Profile = 6-4-3-9-5   Speed = 10   Stamina = 14   Index = 0.86   Triads = 13-16-17

Prominent Non-Chefs increase over Chefs:

St. Simon: 12.5%

Configurations Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥

Multi Style Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥

Sloppy Track - Never Performed.

Prominent Non-Chefs add additional: +61.3% Speed

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